Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 7.031194 8.129605 9.304563 10.650582 12.145461 13.750305 15.598939
2025-04-06 5.165998 6.597990 8.246738 10.267882 12.660315 15.383325 18.697280
2025-04-13 3.816400 5.370561 7.290021 9.794238 12.931331 16.686349 21.471826
2025-04-20 3.191089 4.893822 7.128960 10.201888 14.233816 19.257303 25.893033
2025-04-27 2.848461 4.713898 7.295871 11.006438 16.064565 22.574038 31.420773
2025-05-04 2.511592 4.473634 7.329500 11.605673 17.640338 25.633877 36.772146
2025-05-11 2.099773 4.042472 7.021952 11.672852 18.466239 27.722010 40.933007
2025-05-18 1.689189 3.532735 6.518975 11.382571 18.735237 29.034311 44.081160
2025-05-25 1.369349 3.110751 6.086690 11.134218 19.014865 30.338999 47.238305
2025-06-01 1.144685 2.812976 5.809900 11.084398 19.560172 32.016671 50.952734
2025-06-08 0.951353 2.533781 5.522672 10.977613 19.990785 33.524281 54.459530
2025-06-15 0.881096 2.491898 5.648445 11.562017 21.527904 36.718875 60.504976
2025-06-22 0.757774 2.315159 5.512446 11.700135 22.383502 38.968223 65.318716
2025-06-29 0.596796 2.011775 5.090297 11.288932 22.306558 39.784298 68.033897
2025-07-06 0.457793 1.720063 4.643261 10.778940 22.015784 40.237556 70.202122
2025-07-13 0.414996 1.671937 4.699395 11.218727 23.376902 43.354670 76.545989
2025-07-20 0.405834 1.717938 4.966173 12.085474 25.528112 47.814999 85.100111
2025-07-27 0.381647 1.713108 5.116746 12.730370 27.312005 51.734973 92.915961
2025-08-03 0.326510 1.595254 4.989771 12.802691 28.062927 53.982781 98.159184
2025-08-10 0.260765 1.417680 4.691515 12.490475 28.083826 55.010100 101.481784
2025-08-17 0.208585 1.265560 4.429052 12.223248 28.162476 56.122956 104.957351
2025-08-24 0.173231 1.162210 4.273936 12.169639 28.633578 57.905899 109.550738
2025-08-31 0.141583 1.058707 4.099974 12.054700 28.973438 59.465894 113.811599